WCVI - Election 2004 - Latino Exit Polls

Election 2004 - Latino Exit Polls
(updated 12/02/2004)

National Exit Poll
*All data presented is election day minus absentee ballots.

Presidential Race
Kerry/Edwards	65.4%
Bush/Cheny	33.0%
Nader/Camejo	1.4%
N = 943

National Turnout Study Preliminary Results
Numbers in Thousands

Latino Voter Registration	Total Latino Votes Cast	Latino % Turnout	% Latino Share of Votes Cast
10,188*	7,641	75%	6.6%

Sources: WCVI Election Day Exit Poll, *WCVI Projection,

The National Exit Poll covered 41 precincts in 11 states.
The total sample size of Latino respondents was 943.
20.3% of the surveys in the United States were conducted in Spanish.

WCVI 2004 Latino Exit Poll Final Results Powerpoint Presentation

The 2004 WCVI National Latino Election Day Exit Poll Analysis

Toplines All Latino Voters
Crosstabs (Latino Voters By)
Age	Native Born vs. Foreign Born
First Time vs. Non-First Time	Income
Education Level	Cuban vs. Non-Cuban
Gender	Religion
Media Source	When Registered
Union vs. Non-Union Household	Presidential Vote
Political Affiliation	Political View

Florida Exit Poll
*All data presented is election day minus absentee ballots.

Presidential Race		Senatorial Race
Kerry/Edwards	50.8%	Castor	44.5%
Bush/Cheny	48.4%	Martinez	53.7%
Nader/Camejo	0.5%	Other	1.8 %
Other	0.3 %
Congressional Race		Amendment 5 (Florida Minimum Wage)
Democrat	51.8%	Favor	80.7%
Republican	48.1%	Oppose	19.2%
Other	1.1%
Amendment 1 (Parental Notification of a Minor's Termination of Pregnancy)
Favor		68.2%
Oppose		31.4%
N = 1,021

Florida Turnout Study
Numbers in Thousands

Total Latino Votes Cast	Latino % Turnout	% Latino Share of Votes Cast
0	0	0

The Florida Exit Poll covered 34 precincts in 7 counties.
The total sample size of Latino respondents was 1,021.
43.3% of the surveys in Florida were conducted in Spanish.

Toplines
All Latino Voters

Crosstabs (Latino Voters By)

Age Native Born vs. Foreign Born

First Time vs. Non-First Time Income

Education Level Cuban vs. Non-Cuban

Gender Religion

Media Source When Registered

Union vs. Non-Union Household Presidential Vote

Political Affiliation Political View

Methodology

The WCVI National Election Day Exit Poll of Latino Voters was based upon a proportional-stratified-random sample of 943 Latino voters who were interviewed upon casting their ballots on Nov. 2, 2004. The sample was drawn from 41 precincts taken from 11 states. 80% of all Latino Registered Voters reside within these 11 states. *All data presented is election day minus absentee ballots.

Eliminated all precincts having less than 5% Latino Registered Voters.
Eliminated all precincts having less than 50 Latino Registered Voters.
Weighted all precincts by total number of Latino Registered Voters in all precincts.
California and Texas were geographically stratified to insure that all regions of state would have an equal chance of being selected for the sample.
SPSS random sampling generator used to select precincts in all states.
Actual number of interviewees based on proportion of Latino Registered Voters in each precinct.
Intervals were every 3rd voter in sparsely populated precincts and every 5th voter in precincts having more than 60% Latino Registered Voters.