Recently Registered Latino Voters Favor Villaraigosa
Over Hahn by Large Margin
82.4% Indicate Intention to Vote in Election
Los Angeles, CA – A recent survey of recently registered Latino voters in Los Angeles conducted by the William C. Velásquez Institute from April 23rd to May 4th showed that 50% indicated support for City Councilman Antonio Villaraigosa with only 3.6% giving support to the incumbent Mayor Jim Hahn. An unusually large group of voters still indicated being undecided at 46.4%.
The polling sample was drawn from a group of 45,000 Los Angeles Latinos that registered to vote between August, 18, 2004 and April 1, 2005. A total of 4,875 voters were interviewed.
WCVI Los Angeles Vote 2005 Survey: Candidate Preference
Source: WCVI Survey from April 23 to May 4, 2005.
A high number of Latino voters also indicated that they would be participating in the runoff election via Election Day ballot or vote by mail at 82.4%. Only 8.9% indicated non-participation and 8.7% were undecided whether they were voting at all.
“Our survey was conducted among voters that form opinions late and typically have low rates of participation in local elections. As the elections approach the undecided will form opinions and it’s likely that both candidates will gain significant support from among the undecided, though clearly Villaraigosa enjoys significant support,” said Robert Aguinaga, WCVI Research Director.
“The fact that 82.4% of recently registered Latinos plan to vote in the May 17th Mayoral elections indicates high electoral interest in the community. Nevertheless, it is not likely that turnout will be that high. WCVI predicts overall Latino turnout will be between 40% and 50% of the 340,000 Latino registered voters,” added WCVI President Antonio Gonzalez.
WCVI Los Angeles Vote 2005 Survey: Voting in the 2005 Mayoral Runoff?
YES |
UNDECIDED |
NO |
VBM |
76.2% |
8.7% |
8.9% |
6.2% |
Source: WCVI Survey from April 23 to May 4, 2005
The phone survey was conducted for the period of April 23rd to May 4th, 2005 by trained bilingual interviewers. The survey is a snap poll done for informative purposes only and only represents Latino voters opinion among those registered between August of 2004 and April of 2005.
The WCVI, chartered in 1985, is a nonpartisan, non-profit, Latino-oriented research and policy think tank with offices in San Antonio, Texas, Miami, Florida and Los Angeles, California. The purpose of WCVI is to conduct research aimed at improving the level of political and economic participation in Latino and other underrepresented communities. More information regarding Latino voter analysis and the WCVI is available online at www.wcvi.org.
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