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Latino Vote by Selected State and Candidate Percentage for 2008 Democratic Presidential Primary |
State |
Election Date |
Total State Respondents |
Latino % of Total State Respondents |
Estimated Latino Respondents** |
Latino Respondent Margin of Error %*** |
Clinton % |
Obama % |
Arizona |
2/5/08 |
1218 |
18% |
219 |
6.62% |
55% |
41% |
California |
2/5/08 |
1879 |
29% |
545 |
4.20% |
69% |
29% |
Connecticut |
2/5/08 |
1178 |
6% |
71 |
11.63% |
43% |
53% |
Florida |
1/29/08 |
1501 |
12% |
180 |
7.30% |
59% |
30% |
Illinois |
2/5/08 |
1181 |
17% |
201 |
6.92% |
49% |
50% |
Maryland |
2/12/08 |
1324 |
4% |
53 |
13.46% |
55% |
45% |
Massachusetts |
2/5/08 |
1365 |
5% |
68 |
11.86% |
56% |
36% |
Nevada* |
1/19/08 |
1098 |
15% |
165 |
7.64% |
64% |
26% |
New Jersey |
2/5/08 |
1298 |
10% |
130 |
8.60% |
73% |
26% |
New Mexico |
2/5/08 |
1181 |
34% |
402 |
4.89% |
56% |
36% |
New York |
2/5/08 |
1393 |
12% |
167 |
7.58% |
68% |
30% |
Ohio |
3/4/08 |
1612 |
4% |
64 |
n/a |
n/a |
n/a |
Rhode Island |
3/4/08 |
964 |
7% |
67 |
n/a |
n/a |
n/a |
Texas |
3/4/08 |
2048 |
32% |
655 |
3.83% |
66% |
32% |
Vermont |
3/4/08 |
1007 |
3% |
30 |
n/a |
n/a |
n/a |
Virginia |
2/12/08 |
1245 |
5% |
62 |
12.45% |
46% |
54% |
*Note: Nevada Results of an Entrance Poll
**Latino N Estimate Based on Percentage of Total Respondents
***Margin of Error Based on Estimated Latino Respondent Size
Original Data Source: CNN Exit Poll.
Percentages may not add up to 100% when all categories or candidates are not shown. Numbers based on preliminary exit poll results.
How the poll was conducted: The National Election Pool Exit Poll was conducted by Edison/Mitofsky. Members of the pool are ABC, AP, CBS, CNN, Fox and NBC. The polling places are a stratified probability sample of the state. In addition, absentee and/or early voters were interviewed in a pre-election telephone poll; results from the phone poll were combined with results from the exit poll. The combination reflects approximately the correct proportion of absentee voters and election day voters. |
| 2004 and 2008 Texas Democratic Presidential Primary Election Total Votes Cast Comparison |
|
March 2004 Primary |
March 2008 Primary* |
Total Change from 2004-2008 |
Percentage Change from 2004-2008 |
Total Votes Cast for Democratic Presidential Candidates |
839,231 |
2,857,301 |
+2,018,070 |
+240% |
Latino Votes Cast for Democratic Presidential Candidates |
201,415
(24% of Total Dem) |
914,336
(32% of Total Dem) |
+712,921 |
+354% |
Data Sources: Total Votes Cast for Democrats and Republicans taken from Texas Secretary of State website. Latino Votes cast for President calculated by applying various exit poll figures from CNN (2008), ABC News (2004), *2008 Total Votes Cast current as of Wednesday March 5, 2008. 2008 Latino Vote calculated from Exit Poll percentages applied to Texas Secretary of State Totals. |
| 2000, 2004, and 2008 California Presidential Primary Election Total Votes Cast Comparison |
|
March 2000 Primary |
March 2004 Primary |
February 2008 Primary* |
Total Change from 2004-2008 |
Percentage Change from 2004-2008 |
Total Votes Cast for Democratic Presidential Candidates |
3,272,029
|
3,107,629 |
4,259,031 |
1,151,402 |
+37% |
Latino Votes Cast for Democratic Presidential Candidates |
556,245
(17% of Total Dem)
|
498,474
(16% of Total Dem) |
1,235,119
(29% of Total Dem) |
736,645 |
+148% |
Total Votes Cast for Republican Presidential Candidates |
4,153,702
|
2,216,351 |
2,443,153 |
226,802 |
+10% |
Latino Votes Cast for Republican Presidential Candidates |
332,296
(8 % of Total Rep) |
127,662
(5.8% of Total Rep) |
317,610
(13% of Total Rep) |
189,948 |
+149% |
Data Sources: Total Votes Cast for Democrats and Republicans taken from California Secretary of State website. Latino Votes cast for President calculated by applying various exit poll figures from CNN (2008), NY Times (2000, 2004), and WCVI (2004) to the Secretary of State totals. *2008 Total Votes Cast current as of Monday, February 11, 2008 . 2008 Latino Vote calculated from Media Exit Poll percentages applied to California Secretary of State Totals. |

For more information contact Steven Ochoa at 323.222.2217
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